Vitalik Buterin이 비난한 Plan B의 주식 대 흐름 가격 모델, 모델이 '유해'할 수 있다고 말합니다

Vitalik Buterin이 비난한 Plan B의 주식 대 흐름 가격 모델, 모델이 '유해'할 수 있다고 말합니다

For a few years now, the pseudonymous creator of the popular stock-to-flow (S2F) bitcoin price model, 플랜 B, has become a very well known bitcoin influencer gathering 1.8 million Twitter followers. 하지만, after the S2F price model didn’t come to fruition and dropped well below the price targets in 2022, Plan B and his price model have been criticized a great deal. 화요일에, Ethereum’s co-founder Vitalik Buterin denounced the S2F price model and said “financial models that give people a false sense of certainty” can be “harmful,” and they deserve to be mocked.

Plan B’s Stock-to-Flow Bitcoin Price Model Is Not as Popular as It Once Was

A few specific price models have been mocked this week as people have noticed that bitcoin’s price has not followed the “Rainbow” price indicator and Plan B’s famous stock-to-flow price model. The pseudonymous creator of the S2F model caught the attention of the crypto community years ago on March 22, 2019, when he published an editorial called “Modeling Bitcoin’s Value with Scarcity.” When things got bullish in late 2020 and into 2021, Plan B’s statements and price model were revered and at times, the analyst’s predictions were on point.

1월에 2021, bitcoin’s (BTC) USD value was seemingly following the S2F model and at the time Plan B 말했다: “bitcoin stock-to-flow model [~이다] on track… like clockwork.” Toward the end of June 2021, Plan B gave an update on his “worst case scenario for 2021.” The analyst said: “Bitcoin is below $34K, triggered by Elon Musk’s energy FUD and China’s mining crack down. There is also a more fundamental reason that we see weakness in June, and possibly July. My worst case scenario for 2021 (price/on-chain based): Aug>47K, Sep>43K, Oct>63K, Nov>98K, Dec>135K.”

After publishing his “worst case scenario” predictions, 팔월, 구월, and October seemingly reached the targets Plan B forecasted. 하지만, 동안 BTC hit an all-time high at $69K per unit on November 10, it did not make it near the $98K range and December was not even close. Fast forward to the end of 2022’s first quarter and BTC’s price continued to slide lower, and presently, the leading crypto asset’s price compared to the S2F chart is way off the radar. Plan B and his price model have been criticized in the past and by well known BTC 지지자. 예를 들어, the owner of Upstream Data, 스티브 바버, once 트윗:

The S2F model is the used car salesman approach to memeing bitcoin to the moon.

Buterin Says ‘Stock-to-Flow Is Really Not Looking Good Now’

최근에는, Plan B’s model has been mocked and ridiculed more fiercely. Ethereum advocate Anthony Sassano 트윗 about the S2F model and Plan B’s predictions. “The ‘Stock to flow’ model is such an epic failure that Plan B should just delete his account,” Sassano said. “He won’t though because he sadly still has 1.8 million followers who eat up all of his hopium garbage on a daily basis.” The tweet then got the attention of the Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin who also commented on the subject.

“Stock-to-flow is really not looking good now,” Buterin 말했다 retweeting Sassano’s statement. “I know it’s impolite to gloat and all that, but I think financial models that give people a false sense of certainty and predestination that number-will-go-up are harmful and deserve all the mockery they get. Remember who supported S2F and who mocked it even back when it looked like it was accurately describing the trendline,” the Ethereum co-founder 추가.

Plan B Responds, Analyst’s Fans Tells Him to ‘Keep Posting — I Enjoy the Perspective You Bring’

Plan B responded to Buterin’s statement by retweeting his Tweet on Tuesday with some criticism toward “failed projects.”

“After a crash, some people are looking for scapegoats for their failed projects or wrong investment decisions,” Plan B 말했다. “Not only newbies but [also] ‘leaders’ fall victim to blaming others and playing the victim. Remember those who blame others and those who stand strong after a crash.” Plan B also retweeted an individual who wrote that “Ethereum’s ‘ultrasound’ tokenomics are entirely based on S2F.” Plan B also explained later in the day that he shares his analysis and charts free of charge.

“So I share my analysis and charts FOR FREE,” Plan B 썼다 화요일에. “Never told anybody to buy or what/when/how/howmuch to buy. Now covid, China ban, Russia war and inflation tank all assets including bitcoin… and somehow some weeners blame their investment decisions on me? Lame.”

As mentioned above, S2F has been targeted for being wrong, but the “Rainbow” price indicator has also been mocked during the last two weeks. In a similar fashion, the Rainbow chart has not contained BTC’s price but some people said they could add a few extra lines of purple to make the chart work again. “I’ve created a new and improved model for the rainbow chart,” the Twitter account @Levelsdennis 트윗.

그 동안에, a number of bitcoiners sympathized with Plan B and told him to keep up his work. “Indeed. Keep posting pls – I enjoy the perspective you bring,” the popular Twitter account with 1 million followers and dubbed @BTC_archive told the pseudonymous analyst.

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분석자, 앤서니 사사노, 비트 코인, 비트코인 가격, BTC 지지자, BTC의 가격, 이더 리움, 이더리움 옹호자, 이더리움 공동 설립자, 이더리움 비탈릭 부테린, 예측, 호피움 쓰레기, 플랜 B, 플랜 B S2F, 예측, 가명 창작자, 진술, 스티브 바버, 재고 흐름, 재고 흐름 (S2F), 트위터, 초음파 '토큰노믹스, 비탈릭 부테린, 최악의 시나리오

What do you think about the recent criticisms about Plan B’s stock-to-flow bitcoin price model? 아래 의견 섹션에서 이 주제에 대해 어떻게 생각하는지 알려주십시오..

제이미 레드먼

Jamie Redman은 News의 뉴스 리드이자 플로리다에 거주하는 금융 기술 저널리스트입니다.. Redman은 이후 암호화폐 커뮤니티의 적극적인 회원이었습니다. 2011. 그는 비트코인에 대한 열정이 있습니다, 오픈 소스 코드, 및 분산 응용 프로그램. 9월 이후 2015, Redman은 그 이상을 썼습니다. 5,000 Maximumhorrors.com에 대한 기사 오늘날 등장하는 파괴적인 프로토콜에 대한 뉴스.

이미지 크레딧: 셔터스톡, Pixabay, 위키 커먼즈

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